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Bank of England Warn of Gradual Recovery

Wed, 13 May 2009

The Bank of England has delivered a note of cautious optimism with the suggestion that the worst of the recession may be behind us. In its quarterly Inflation Report, the central bank issued a forecast predicting that the pace of decline in gross domestic product (GDP) will slow this year, though it did warn that recovery could take longer than previously understood.

The Bank's forecast predict that GBP would fall by around 4.5 per cent annually at the start of the second quarter, with growth expected to resume at the start of next year. That growth should have reached 2.5 per cent in two years time.

The Bank's caution of a slow recovery prompted analysts to state that interest rates would remain low as the economy recovered. In a vivid illustration of the continued difficulties facing the UK, the announcement comes just one week after the Bank announced it would raise the budget for quantitative easing from £75 billion to £125 billion.

The forecast will not be well received by Chancellor Alistair Darling, whose prediction that the economy would shrink by 3.5 per cent this year will be the subject of heavy inspection following the latest Inflation Report.
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